Schwartz’s 2025 Wk 10 CFB Bets: Vandy-Tex Under, Fade USC

AUSTIN, TX – Former NFL offensive lineman and current sports betting analyst Geoff Schwartz has unveiled his early projections for Week 10 of the 2025 college football season, with a keen eye on specific matchups and team trends. Among his top picks, Schwartz is heavily focused on the Vanderbilt-Texas showdown and a consistent strategy of betting against USC in road games.

Schwartz, a respected voice in the sports betting community known for his in-depth film analysis and understanding of line play, is particularly zeroing in on the Vanderbilt versus Texas game. He predicts this SEC contest, likely taking place in early November 2025 at Darrell K Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, to be a low-scoring affair. Specifically, Schwartz is advocating for the “under” on the total points, potentially around the 52.5 mark.

His rationale for the Vanderbilt-Texas pick largely stems from Vanderbilt’s well-documented struggles on offense. The Commodores have historically faced challenges generating consistent scoring drives, particularly against top-tier defenses. Paired with Texas’s typically stout defense, especially when playing at home in front of their fervent fanbase, Schwartz sees a scenario where points are at a premium. Texas, by 2025, will be in its second season in the SEC, and its defensive unit is expected to be a cornerstone of its program as it aims for conference contention.

Beyond the SEC clash, Schwartz is also making a broader statement by “fading” USC when they play on the road. This strategy means he is betting against the Trojans to cover the point spread in their away matchups. By 2025, USC will be firmly entrenched in the Big Ten Conference, having made the move in 2024. This shift brings a new slate of formidable road environments and physically imposing opponents.

For example, if USC were to visit a tough Big Ten opponent like Wisconsin, Penn State, or Michigan, Schwartz would likely back the home team to cover the spread, perhaps something like Wisconsin -6.5. This long-standing pick often arises from the belief that USC’s defense, a recurring point of concern for the program in recent years, can be a significant liability. This vulnerability is often amplified in hostile road environments against strong, disciplined Big Ten offenses, which the Trojans will frequently encounter when traveling to the conference’s traditional powerhouses. The physical nature of Big Ten football and the challenging late-season weather conditions in the Midwest could further compound USC’s defensive struggles on the road.

Schwartz’s insights are often shared through his contributions to outlets like The Athletic and various sports betting podcasts, where he provides detailed breakdowns of his picks and the underlying factors influencing his decisions. As the 2025 college football season approaches, his early Week 10 projections offer a glimpse into the key storylines and potential betting opportunities for fans and bettors alike.

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