Oklahoma vs. Tennessee: Simulation’s Week 10 Best Bets

NORMAN, Okla. — A marquee matchup in the 2025 college football season between the Oklahoma Sooners and the Tennessee Volunteers is already generating significant buzz, with a leading sports simulation model presenting a contrarian view to early betting odds. SportsLine’s proprietary computer model, after running 10,000 simulations of the Week 10 contest, projects an outright victory for the Sooners despite current oddsmakers favoring the Volunteers.

The highly anticipated SEC showdown is scheduled for Saturday, November 8, 2025, with kickoff set for 7:45 p.m. ET from Gaylord Family — Oklahoma Memorial Stadium in Norman. Fans can catch all the action live on ESPN.

While major sportsbooks currently list Tennessee as a slight 1.5-point favorite against Oklahoma, the SportsLine model’s extensive simulations tell a different story. The sophisticated algorithm predicts Oklahoma will win outright in nearly 70% of those 10,000 simulations, suggesting a strong likelihood of the Sooners covering the spread and securing a home victory.

Furthermore, for those eyeing the total points, the over/under is currently set at 60.5. The SportsLine model indicates a high-scoring affair, with the ‘Over’ hitting in a full 60% of its runs. This points to both teams’ offenses potentially finding considerable success, contributing to a game exceeding the projected point total.

This 2025 clash carries substantial weight as it marks the first conference meeting between Oklahoma and Tennessee. Both storied programs will be full members of the Southeastern Conference by then, with Oklahoma having officially joined the SEC in July 2024. Their last encounter on the gridiron was in 2015, a thrilling 31-24 Oklahoma victory in double overtime in Knoxville, following a 34-10 Sooners win at Neyland Stadium in 2014. Historically, Oklahoma holds a 3-1 advantage in the all-time series against Tennessee, which began in 1938.

The shift to the SEC for Oklahoma presents new challenges and rivalries, and a game against a traditional SEC East power like Tennessee will be a significant early barometer of the Sooners’ standing within their new conference. Tennessee, under its established leadership, will be looking to solidify its position as a perennial contender in the expanded SEC landscape. Both programs are expected to feature dynamic offenses and competitive defenses by the 2025 season, making this a pivotal game for playoff aspirations and conference standings.

As the 2025 season draws closer, fans and bettors alike will be closely watching how these early predictions evolve. The SportsLine model’s bold call against the initial betting lines sets the stage for what promises to be an electrifying and closely watched SEC battle.

For more details on the SportsLine computer model’s predictions and to follow future college football analyses, visit [SportsLine.com](https://www.sportsline.com/).